Wednesday’s biggest NCAA basketball game is going to be a classic match up between the North Carolina Tar Heels and the Indiana Hoosiers. The Tar Heels are 7-0 for the first time in nearly a decade and are ranked no. 3. The no. 10 Hoosiers are just as strong as they’ve been for decades, and their match up at the ACC/Big Ten Challenge will be one for the ages.
So how do you bet this little beauty? Do you automatically go for the higher ranked team or do you take a shot on the Hoosiers? With teams of this high caliber, you never know what to expect. Right now, the Tar Heels are considered four-point favorites against the Hoosiers, a one-point jump from their initial spread. How can you bet this game to come out ahead?
Beating The Spread
Covers has released a variety of betting guides for college basketball odds, and quoted Roy Williams (North Carolina’s coach) as saying “I’m not jumping on any boat trying to figure out how great we are…We stink it up with the rest of them. We’ve just got to get better every day. I’ve never seen a national championship won the day before Thanksgiving.” While this attitude is likely a part of the “respectful” approach taken by many coaches, it indicates an uncertainty in the North Carolina camp.
As you’re probably aware, a four-point spread isn’t much in a game like this. All that needs to happen for you to lose a bet against Indiana is to have them come within three-points of winning. That kind of risk is high in a game like this, which makes it a wise decision to bet a small amount on North Carolina to avoid a total loss.
That said, betting on Indiana to beat the spread isn’t a bad bet in this particular scenario. But how much should you bet them to beat it by? First of all, they need to lose by no less than three points to beat the spread. However, if you bet on them to win, you need to choose a reasonable spread. In a tight game like this, a spread of more than five or 10 points isn’t a wise bet. Try to choose one a little closer to
Injuries That Will Play A Part
There are a few injuries that you need to take into account before making your bet. North Carolina will likely be playing without Pinson, who is out until February with a foot injury. Maye’s ankle is still questionable after rolling it recently. These two power players are key to the Tar Heel’s success, and losing them could give Indiana an edge.
That said. Indiana has suffered a few injuries of its own. Blackmon is probably out for the game due to a knee injury while Hartman is “out indefinitely” with his own knee injury. Lacking these two players could balance things out again for North Carolina, which explains their current four-point spread.
Currently, North Carolina is getting about 54 percent of the betting action from Covers. Take that anyway you want. Whichever team you choose, make sure to tune into to ESPN at 9:15 tonight to see the result.